10 bold predictions for the 2024 F1 season

By | February 26, 2024

10 bold predictions for the 2024 F1 seasonMark Thompson – Getty Images

Lewis Hamilton leaves Mercedes, Haas shows Guenther Steiner the door and Formula rejects Michael Andretti: Formula 1 may have already delivered its biggest surprises for 2024 and it is still February.

But what else could happen in the next ten months? Car week makes some bold predictions.

Sergio Perez stumbles; Title will not be easy for Red Bull

Max Verstappen is a shoe-in for a fourth consecutive world title and few will be surprised if he clinch another crown ahead of the final round.

Sergio Perez’s lack of form in 2023 has not cost Red Bull anything in the grand scheme of things, but if he doesn’t improve his game, a tighter competitive landscape could prove costly. Perez, who is out of contract, needs a strong start – and shifting favorite number Baku later in the year won’t help – to fend off the vultures. There is little loyalty with the Bulls if you don’t win.

Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3

BSR Agency – Getty Images

Four teams will win races in 2024

Only two teams won a race in 2023 and they were split quite unevenly, with Red Bull taking a record 21 wins and Ferrari taking one when the Bulls made a mistake.

This is more out of hope than any judgement, but there is a good chance that a resurgent Mercedes and Ferrari will prevail, and McLaren will rejoin the ranks of winners.

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ANDREJ ISAKOVIC – Getty Images

Daniel Ricciardo will put RB on the podium

The renamed RB team is apparently on the rise. It is forming a larger alliance with parent company Red Bull, has refreshed its management and history shows that results improve the longer the sport is in a regulatory cycle.

It also has a rejuvenated and refreshed Daniel Ricciardo, reinvigorated after his lackluster McLaren stint, and eager to grab his second shot. RB is unlikely to finish in the top half of the standings, but Ricciardo will take a podium in an exhausting race.

Remember, this is a team that took podiums in 2019 and 2021 and won a race in 2020.

Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3

Rudy Carezzevoli – Getty Images

Hamilton becomes F1’s oldest winner in three decades

It hardly seems believable, but seven-time champion Hamilton will turn 40 next January and by then he will be dressed in the scarlet red of Ferrari.

He hasn’t won a Grand Prix in two years, but that has much more to do with Mercedes’ limitations than any decline in his own abilities. In that time frame, Hamilton has finished second nine times, finished third seven times and taken one pole position.

An eighth title is likely to remain elusive, but expect Hamilton to become F1’s oldest race winner since 1994 this season.

Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3

Anadolu – Getty Images

Major F1 youth movement on the horizon

Several of Formula 1’s top drivers are only in their mid-20s, but there are a handful of exciting young talents lurking on the horizon.

These things happen in cycles and the next one is looming, especially after such a stagnant 2023-2024 offseason. If the stars align with Oliver Bearman (Haas perhaps?) and Andrea Kimi Antonelli (Williams, or even Mercedes?) they should both go a step further, while last year’s F2 champion Théo Pourchaire (Sauber? ) and 2023 super sub Liam Lawson (RB) ?) could – and might – also land full-time drives.

Formula 2 shakedownFormula 2 shakedown

Eric Alonso – Formula 1 – Getty Images

Oscar Piastri will win this season ahead of Charles Leclerc

Lando Norris has come close to victory. In fact, he has 13 podiums without climbing to the top step. That indicates his own ability, McLaren is close but not quite there yet, and Max Verstappen wipes away all chances in 2023.

But Norris also has to contend with Oscar Piastri.

Piastri stole a small lead last year by taking a sprint victory (which doesn’t count for the record books), although he still lagged behind his teammate in race pace. Piastri is still on a learning curve, but it will gradually level off, and he now has a year’s worth of data under his belt.

Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 2Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 2

Mark Thompson – Getty Images

F1 will add more sprints before 2025

Formula 1 had three sprints in 2021-2022 and expanded this to six for 2023, which was maintained in 2024.

It still feels like a gradual softening for critics of the format, with Formula 1 regularly shouting out their value and the promoters reportedly overwhelmingly supportive.

Don’t expect Formula 1 to run a full MotoGP race, which went from no sprint races to sprints at every event, but expanding to eight or ten wouldn’t be a surprise, especially as expanding the calendar to 24 Grands Prix is ​​a no-no. go is. before 2025.

F1 Brazilian Grand Prix sprintF1 Brazilian Grand Prix sprint

ATPImages – Getty Images

Haas won’t end up in the cellar

Haas was last present in 2021 and 2023, so don’t expect too much.

But it was arguably the best worst team in Formula 1 history last season and still had a car that could regularly crack the top ten – at least in qualifying.

Resolving the serious tire degradation during the race trim is top of the agenda and the team is playing down its chances early in the season as new boss Ayao Komatsu installs his ethos into the squad. It won’t be an easy task given the strength of the grid, but we’ll tip Haas to avoid last place this time.

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ANDREJ ISAKOVIC – Getty Images

Alpine makes more changes… Again

Alpine has had a difficult few years and the signs from pre-season testing were not promising.

Yes, it is set for a slow start, but this is a team that has title-winning ambitions in the medium term, and is a factory team. He is the fourth team boss in five years and rarely has a season without some fundamental change.

If the A524 doesn’t deliver the step forward, expect more staff reshuffles.

Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3Formula 1 testing in Bahrain day 3

BSR Agency – Getty Images

One Formula 1 team is sold

The value of Formula 1 teams has grown and the rejection of Michael Andretti’s bid and increased partial buy-ins reflect the shift to a closed-store franchise model.

But there are more than a few teams that would consider a change in ownership – in whole or in part – if the right offer came along.

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NurPhoto – Getty Images

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